0xea5898ea8b3ed01b4e558e56a6653b2931d9d62f
0xea5898ea8b3ed01b4e558e56a6653b2931d9d62f
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$73.20
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-194.44
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
121 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$73.20
$-0.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
520 shares @ 86.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-448.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- TEAM LYNX
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
349 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-345.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
300 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-261.00
- T1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
200 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-67.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
184 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-150.88
- UNDER
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
126 shares @ 90.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-114.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
121 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-117.37
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
120 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-80.37
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.