Defiant-Occasion
0xea613ef81248e1ac822b0c0a7e46d6feaf60c342
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$44.85
Total PnL
$-101.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
45 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$44.85
$1.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 5?
1392 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 25?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Ethereum above $3600 on August 11?
792 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 26?
736 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14?
630 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8?
528 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 12?
523 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 4?
489 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $113K on August 6 at 5PM ET?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$43.15Apr 5, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 5?$3.00Apr 5, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25?$46.15Apr 5, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25?$46.06Mar 24, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 25?$5.00Mar 24, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?$51.07Mar 24, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?$50.00Mar 19, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?$932.26Mar 19, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?$926.40Mar 19, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?$926.40Mar 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?$923.62Mar 18, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$117.93Mar 18, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 17?$805.70Mar 18, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 17?$799.65Mar 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$117.22Mar 15, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 March 9-15?$3.00Mar 15, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14?$3.00Mar 14, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 12?$123.22Mar 14, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 12?$122.97Mar 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 12?$7.00Mar 11, 19:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $120.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 01:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 00:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".