Unripe-Carnation
0xea66032ca27b75012da6f9b3b1040144dea8d0c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET$1.00Nov 1, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 30?$0.83Oct 29, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 30?$0.17Oct 29, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 30?$1.00Oct 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET$0.01Oct 29, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET$0.13Oct 29, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET$1.00Oct 29, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET$1.00Oct 29, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$3.33Oct 28, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.00Oct 28, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET$2.00Oct 27, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 27, 2AM ET$1.00Oct 27, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $200 on November 15?$8.93Nov 16, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,000 on November 15?$8.06Nov 16, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,000 on November 15?$5.00Nov 9, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $200 on November 15?$5.00Nov 9, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.02Nov 6, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$11.44Nov 6, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9.08Oct 27, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 1, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.