Bowed-Grain
0xea6a10775d8971668ab2bd621d7c1f963410f14c
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$52.49
Total PnL
$21.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?
24 shares @ 41.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.83
$13.83
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.14
$10.14
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.51
$3.51
- YES
Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Scream 7 be the February film with the highest domestic gross on March 31?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?$10.00Apr 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scream 7 be the February film with the highest domestic gross on March 31?$5.00Feb 27, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$10.00Feb 27, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $6.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.