Murky-Optimist
0xea6f10d463a527a6a6086d4ccb101219ab394bec
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$44.08
Total PnL
$-705.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
44 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.08
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 21?
27162 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-569.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 20?
12448 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-135.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$44.10Jun 7, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$44.09Jun 7, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$44.00May 14, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$26.72May 14, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 20?$146.34Apr 20, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$24.85Apr 20, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?$24.85Apr 20, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?$24.20Mar 3, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 21?$569.99Dec 21, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $142.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 02:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.