Zany-Operation
0xea7882399fd40cfea859a9c71c96063639054d82
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-350.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
943 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
566 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-16.64
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
362 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-57.98
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
267 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-66.24
- YES
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
239 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-66.84
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Venezuela intervention by August 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump recognize Somaliland in 2025?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$57.98Mar 26, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump recognize Somaliland in 2025?$2.00Dec 29, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$20.00Dec 29, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$20.00Dec 29, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$26.84Dec 29, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 10, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Nov 4, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Nov 3, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Nov 3, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$6.64Oct 10, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$10.00Oct 10, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$10.00Oct 10, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$66.24Nov 6, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela intervention by August 31?$10.00Jul 31, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$50.00Jul 28, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kristi Noem win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.00Jul 28, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ron DeSantis win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.00Jul 28, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Flynn win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.00Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Flynn win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$9.47Jul 15, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $19.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 23:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.