Assured-Adjustment
0xea7a8792d4f42d49cf6d594db0e2a9b6fe7ab9df
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
33672 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-541.88
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 18?
19706 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-314.96
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 18?
6500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?
5352 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?
4917 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2024$0.00
$-98.99
- NO
Fed rate cut by November 7?
4542 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20?
3558 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$0.00
$-550.00
- YES
10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
1921 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
No Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?
1870 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$0.71May 20, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.05May 20, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.98May 20, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.01May 20, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5 released in 2024?$102.09Oct 15, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLCOVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$13.33Oct 15, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?$23.84Oct 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELL100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$13.05Oct 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Recession in 2024?$27.49Oct 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 released in 2024?$15.00Oct 10, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?$25.00Oct 10, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$10.00Sep 24, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUY10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$10.00Sep 24, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?$5.00Sep 24, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?$10.00Sep 23, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$20.00Sep 21, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$20.00Sep 21, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $60,000 on September 20?$100.00Sep 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $60,000 on September 20?$150.00Sep 19, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $60,000 on September 20?$100.00Sep 19, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $33.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 16, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 13:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".