Muddy-Polyp
0xea7c656036f9478be068bff8a96c6b86307cc318
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?
2568 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on March 11?
2480 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Meta (META) Up or Down on March 10?
2460 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
1768 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-884.00
- DOWN
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on December 4?
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
FactSet Research Systems (FDS) Up or Down After Earnings?
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$15.77Apr 14, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.36Apr 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 11?$2.5KMar 12, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDAX (DAX) Up or Down on March 11?$1.1KMar 11, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 11?$1.4KMar 11, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on March 10?$1.3KMar 10, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?$1.2KMar 10, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$14.00Mar 10, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$13.99Jan 31, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYA (NYA) Up or Down on December 4?$8.00Dec 4, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFactSet Research Systems (FDS) Up or Down After Earnings?$6.50Dec 4, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.8KNov 16, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.8KNov 16, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$975.20Nov 15, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$877.00Nov 15, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$1.9KNov 15, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$927.50Nov 15, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$884.00Nov 15, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $789.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".