Careful-Testimonial
0xea7d4552d52d5c48c8747b9384d8f06f9ed9cb33
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.35
Realised
$-42.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?
970 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.02
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?
965 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.41
- YES
Will Solana hit $350 by February 28 2025?
835 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.67
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
811 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-12.84
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?
683 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.61
- YES
Will Solana hit $400 by February 28 2025?
550 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$6.60Mar 18, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$0.20Mar 12, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$2.88Mar 12, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$6.32Mar 12, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$0.51Mar 12, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$2.89Mar 12, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$4.48Mar 8, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$0.66Feb 22, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$6.35Feb 22, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $350 by February 28 2025?$1.67Feb 22, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?$0.88Feb 22, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$1.82Feb 20, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?$2.73Feb 19, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$9.38Feb 19, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$18.14Feb 18, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$7.13Feb 15, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $400 by February 28 2025?$0.19Feb 11, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $400 by February 28 2025?$0.01Feb 11, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $400 by February 28 2025?$0.09Feb 11, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $400 by February 28 2025?$0.01Feb 11, 03:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 02:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.