0xea7d5bda95d03dcbd0e3a7a69bedffe38252569e
0xea7d5bda95d03dcbd0e3a7a69bedffe38252569e
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$79.92
Total PnL
$-111.24
Realised
$-6.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
169 shares @ 11.8¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.69
$6.70
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
81 shares @ 18.5¢·now 19.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.77
$0.77
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
109 shares @ 13.7¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.16
$0.16
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
238 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
149 shares @ 6.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.13
$-1.87
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 64.3¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?
383 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$3.51Jun 25, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$2.10Jun 25, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$5.24Jun 25, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$3.12Jun 25, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$6.25Jun 25, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$3.16Jun 25, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$2.05Jun 25, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$4.56Jun 25, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$5.35Jun 25, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$39.17Jun 25, 03:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.87Jun 24, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$2.08Jun 24, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$4.07Jun 24, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$4.98Jun 24, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$5.07Jun 24, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$10.15Jun 24, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$10.11Jun 24, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$10.15Jun 24, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.04Jun 24, 12:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 04:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.