Bold-Poll
0xea8cc701c3d73f887b1b21b7801523524bcd1619
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-432.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
8554 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-278.93
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
7679 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.07
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 2PM ET
100 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-12.87
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18
83 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
64 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 9, 2PM ET$13.02Apr 9, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 9, 2PM ET$0.66Apr 9, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$11.57Jan 25, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$34.51Jan 25, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Dec 26, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$63.00Dec 26, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$98.94Dec 13, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$80.00Nov 19, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$29.41Nov 19, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$5.00Oct 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$6.25Oct 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 13?$4.30Oct 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 13?$1.00Oct 12, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon CZ by October 31?$5.00Oct 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$8.00Oct 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$10.00Oct 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 12?$5.00Oct 12, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 12?$1.00Oct 12, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$5.00Oct 11, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $11.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.