0xea8cf8836ce6e490afba58e18bd58c849296aeb2
0xea8cf8836ce6e490afba58e18bd58c849296aeb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$752.34
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
568 shares @ 88.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$485.79
$-14.20
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.97
$10.97
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.01
$3.01
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.58
$2.58
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
633 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
588 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.98
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
491 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.91
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
315 shares @ 78.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-247.73
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
306 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
220 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-148.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$499.99Jun 2, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$58.14Jun 2, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$789.47Jun 2, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$493.42May 27, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$56.18May 26, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$81.97May 26, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$105.26May 26, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$457.99May 26, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$98.69May 26, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$100.00May 22, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$56.18Apr 22, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$151.52Apr 22, 19:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.15Apr 13, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$3.71Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$96.29Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$14.18Apr 12, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$37.14Apr 12, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$9.93Apr 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$1.97Apr 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$4.86Apr 12, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $62.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 18:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".