Miserly-Floodplain
0xea9b0acd1e6a5d07088d197ca1ef212e5089aff3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-207.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 12?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on January 18?
10978 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-109.78
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?
78 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-77.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?$77.66Jan 31, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 31?$77.66Jan 31, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 31?$77.43Jan 30, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 29?$75.00Jan 30, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 29?$74.85Jan 29, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 28?$77.28Jan 29, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 28?$76.82Jan 28, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 28?$76.82Jan 28, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 28?$10.69Jan 27, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 28?$66.52Jan 27, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 27?$77.20Jan 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 27?$76.89Jan 26, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 25?$76.90Jan 26, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 25?$76.59Jan 24, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 24?$52.88Jan 24, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 24?$52.56Jan 23, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 23?$76.27Jan 23, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 23?$76.12Jan 22, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 21?$76.12Jan 22, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 21?$76.04Jan 21, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $49.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 02:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.