0xeaa9e5d1f1cae59c24fd4eae622ca9d07be3f3db
0xeaa9e5d1f1cae59c24fd4eae622ca9d07be3f3db
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
160
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.0M
Realised
$-27.0M
Win rate
0%
160 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 160- YES
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on November 6?
7231 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2021$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution?
612 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2021$0.00
$-305.78
- NO
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 45M global streams for the week ending on November 25?
316 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2021$0.00
$-158.02
- NO
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 75 ETH on November 30?
64 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2021$0.00
$-32.18
- YES
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021?
62 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2021$0.00
$-31.19
- NO
Will 229.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 29?
52 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2021$0.00
$-25.89
- YES
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th?
46 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2021$0.00
$-22.78
- YES
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23?
36 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2021$0.00
$-18.03
- YES
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany?
31 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.54
- NO
NBA: Will the Jazz beat the 76ers by more than 8.5 points in their November 16th matchup?
28 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2021$0.00
$-13.87
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
70/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 160 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
160 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 160 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.