Damaged-Vessel
0xeaafe363ca6997e5187f71210cd7800fbd404d98
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$50.23
Total PnL
$11.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
48 shares @ 22.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$48.25
$37.28
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 72.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.98
$-7.52
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
126 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- NO
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
20 shares @ 72.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?$13.55Apr 19, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?$10.00Apr 15, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$0.00Apr 10, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$0.00Apr 10, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$0.00Apr 10, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$12.00Apr 10, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?$0.00Apr 7, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?$2.59Apr 7, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?$4.65Apr 1, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$2.00Apr 1, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$7.00Apr 1, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$4.50Apr 1, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$3.50Apr 1, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$2.65Apr 1, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$2.30Apr 1, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$8.02Apr 1, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?$4.48Mar 30, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.