Taut-Roadway
0xeab41630a76a26c2e75a6393dc313916095d117e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$351.07
Total PnL
$0.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 43°C on May 30?
171 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$170.79
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 3?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$100.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on June 8?
47 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$46.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 44°C or higher on May 30?
32 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$31.79
$0.05
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.42
$0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on June 8?$47.00Jun 7, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 3?$100.00Jun 2, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 44°C or higher on May 30?$31.74May 29, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 43°C on May 30?$170.63May 28, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 9?$44.04Apr 23, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 9?$44.00Apr 8, 12:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 23, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$743.96Mar 22, 10:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 22, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$744.72Mar 21, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$636.51Mar 20, 05:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 20, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$637.16Mar 19, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$843.67Mar 19, 11:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 19, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$844.53Mar 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$783.85Mar 17, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$783.86Mar 15, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 12?$66.07Mar 13, 02:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 13, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $385.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.