Adept-Utilisation
0xeacf4ea33904dc6d8603b0f443a4b3b958e3ed1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$10.04
Total PnL
$-268.03
Realised
$-34.13
Win rate
6%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
17 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$7.57
$-0.26
- SAN DIEGO PADRES
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.35
$0.05
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.12
$-0.92
- NO
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
60 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
36 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-12.96
- NO
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?
30 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?
28 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.72
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
27 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
23 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- CHICAGO CUBS
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals
22 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$6.00Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians$5.00Aug 15, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves$10.00Aug 15, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$2.00Aug 15, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$4.05Aug 15, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$3.03Aug 14, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$2.47Aug 14, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians$2.36Aug 14, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians$2.36Aug 14, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. New York Mets$8.03Aug 14, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves$3.72Aug 14, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$6.87Aug 14, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels$5.20Aug 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels$3.51Aug 14, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$4.99Aug 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$2.41Aug 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels$4.22Aug 13, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers$4.99Aug 13, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals$5.00Aug 12, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.76Aug 12, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 54 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
54 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.