Unconscious-Penguin
0xead152b855effa6b5b5837f53b24c0756830c76a
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$44.1K
Total PnL
$3.1K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
14428 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$14.3K
$429.15
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
12063 shares @ 48.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.8K
$1.0K
- NO
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
6023 shares @ 95.4¢·now 92.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.6K
$-168.54
- NO
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?
5263 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.2K
$110.02
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
9294 shares @ 47.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.2K
$789.95
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
17233 shares @ 14.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.5K
$-61.66
- NO
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
2431 shares @ 96.6¢·now 94.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.3K
$-54.12
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
9894 shares @ 8.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.3K
$515.10
- YES
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
2121 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$296.94
$-84.84
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
622 shares @ 22.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$180.38
$43.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.29Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.30Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.31Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.31Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.31Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.30Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.28Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.27Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.26Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.28Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.28Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.1KJul 7, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.