Earnest-Rationale
0xead1de8a31c31ce80436a1f81c25460696d8245b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on July 20 at 5PM ET?
59 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- SAINTS
Patriots vs. Saints
30 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-11.10
- CELTICS
Celtics vs. 76ers
28 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-12.60
- PENGUINS
Sabres vs. Penguins
24 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.76
- BUBLIK
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaur
12 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- PIASTRI
Piastri vs. Norris
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Penguins$5.88Mar 5, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Penguins$5.88Mar 5, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$606.53Mar 5, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$607.15Mar 5, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Lundqvist Lightside (BO1) - NLC Regular Season$610.00Feb 27, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Lundqvist Lightside (BO1) - NLC Regular Season$610.00Feb 26, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Timberwolves$700.00Feb 11, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Timberwolves$483.00Feb 9, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaur$4.80Jan 24, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.3KJan 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.3KJan 24, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. 76ers$12.60Nov 11, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?$1.2KNov 11, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?$1.2KNov 11, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?$1.2KNov 11, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?$1.2KNov 11, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Saints$11.10Oct 10, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$495.50Oct 10, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$496.00Oct 10, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Australia before July?$3.00Jul 24, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $415.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.