Ill-Informed-Unibody-Attention
0xead84467ff8d00363bbb45de33f4687955c6877e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.94
Total PnL
$-101.29
Realised
$0.77
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MARTIN LANDALUCE
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
19 shares @ 79.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
19 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- ALEX HERNANDEZ
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Alex Hernandez
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PAKISTAN
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Pakistan
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- GUJARAT TITANS
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- HUGO DELLIEN
Cordenons: Hugo Dellien vs Matyas Fule
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- QUENTIN HALYS
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?$1.01Jul 22, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$1.49Jul 22, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?$1.03Jul 22, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$1.02Jul 22, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?$1.00Jul 22, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 22?$1.13Jul 22, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 22?$1.01Jul 22, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?$2.89Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?$1.03Jul 21, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?$1.83Jul 21, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?$1.03Jul 21, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?$1.01Jul 20, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?$1.16Jul 20, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?$1.01Jul 20, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$7.76Jul 19, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$1.03Jul 19, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 19?$2.54Jul 19, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?$1.04Jul 19, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?$3.57Jul 18, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?$1.04Jul 18, 13:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.