0xeae0a0fa7ccec764e3aa8c2fecbf2ef7d0e6d827
0xeae0a0fa7ccec764e3aa8c2fecbf2ef7d0e6d827
Wallet digest
Activity score
27/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-171.48
Realised
$-5.73
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
198 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.75
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
157 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
35 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$10.65Jul 9, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$10.25Jul 9, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$10.36Jul 9, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$29.41Jul 7, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$10.30Jul 6, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$20.48Jun 29, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$20.64Jun 29, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?$10.32Jun 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$10.34Jun 28, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.92Jun 28, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$37.04Jun 27, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-27?$6.21Jun 25, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.52Jun 25, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?$10.30Jun 25, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$10.32Jun 25, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.40Jun 25, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jun 25, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $14.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.