Alarming-Ego
0xeaeac70e7268982a05711ab0b0a63bbda74e673c
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$320.56
Total PnL
$-517.42
Realised
$291.48
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?
258 shares @ 66.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$238.94
$68.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 26?
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$29.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?
57 shares @ 47.2¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$26.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 26?
108 shares @ 27.7¢·now 24.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$26.02
$-3.98
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?
1078 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-164.36
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 27, 2026?
628 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-74.37
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?
400 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?
359 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 15, 2026?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?
230 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?$27.71May 25, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 26?$30.99May 25, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 26?$31.08May 25, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$172.23May 23, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lens win Coupe de France?$172.43May 23, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lens win Coupe de France?$138.37May 22, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-21?$138.33May 22, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-21?$100.44May 21, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYVfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score$46.00Apr 4, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?$0.11Apr 2, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?$84.39Mar 27, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?$60.00Mar 25, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?$109.54Mar 25, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?$54.00Mar 23, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?$54.20Mar 23, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?$50.00Mar 22, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?$7.21Mar 12, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?$6.09Mar 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?$106.50Mar 2, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?$100.00Mar 2, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $37.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".