Chilly-Competitor-Basement
0xeaf4963382a11f45e84399be06f74fa0a84b5e68
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$177.10
Total PnL
$-2.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$180.50Jul 28, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$179.69Jul 28, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$165.66Jul 25, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$165.15Jul 25, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$162.00Jul 23, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$162.77Jul 23, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$155.00Jul 22, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?$156.00Jul 22, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?$141.11Jul 20, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?$141.03Jul 20, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?$140.07Jul 19, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5$139.56Jul 19, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5$133.31Jul 19, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 18?$130.52Jul 19, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 18?$130.04Jul 19, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 0.5$133.06Jul 19, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 0.5$128.24Jul 18, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?$127.78Jul 18, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?$115.57Jul 18, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 17?$116.36Jul 18, 06:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $146.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 13:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.