0xeaf95aebc8a1ad20acf448826f7226d9ecb6b9ed
0xeaf95aebc8a1ad20acf448826f7226d9ecb6b9ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$12.03
Total PnL
$-140.14
Realised
$-3.23
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?
10 shares @ 78.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.03
$2.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on February 17?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on February 11?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on January 12?
193 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-29.72
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?
136 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on January 29?
103 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 12?
89 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on February 8?
88 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 16?
84 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 11?
77 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on February 17?$2.00Feb 17, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 11?$3.00Feb 11, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on February 11?$3.00Feb 11, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on February 9?$3.00Feb 9, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 9?$2.07Feb 9, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on February 8?$3.00Feb 8, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 31-32°F on February 2?$0.05Feb 2, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 31-32°F on February 2?$0.23Feb 2, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 31-32°F on February 2?$0.44Feb 2, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 31-32°F on February 2?$5.00Feb 2, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 31?$10.05Feb 2, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 31?$0.21Jan 31, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 31?$5.00Jan 31, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 31?$5.00Jan 31, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 30?$0.49Jan 31, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 30?$5.00Jan 31, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 29?$8.93Jan 31, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 29?$5.00Jan 29, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 29?$1.73Jan 29, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 29?$5.00Jan 29, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 23:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.