Satisfied-Severity
0xeafc41754ef2e6a48666ea60b21d81d830b057c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$41.86
Total PnL
$-527.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
492 shares @ 16.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.86
$-36.93
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
20500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-27.98
- YES
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
3090 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-194.17
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
3043 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1650 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
472 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
323 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
307 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?
175 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2022$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
130 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$78.79Mar 29, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$13.00Nov 13, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$13.00Nov 6, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 6, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 6, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 6, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$4.00Nov 6, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$11.00Nov 6, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$25.00Nov 6, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$20.00Nov 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$20.00Nov 5, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$25.00Nov 5, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Sep 6, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Sep 5, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$6.60Aug 7, 16:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $19.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 16:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".