Tight-Imagination
0xeb0c10fb81cde84f7e58b8d63d3a0721d0f47f48
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
179
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-351.80
Realised
$-13.49
Win rate
1%
175 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 179- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 1?
134 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 1?
112 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 1?
62 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
47 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.46
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
47 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.09Jul 28, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.05Jul 28, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.04Jul 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.04Jul 28, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.04Jul 28, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.06Jul 28, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.06Jul 28, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.05Jul 28, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.05Jul 28, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.07Jul 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.05Jul 28, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.06Jul 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.05Jul 28, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.04Jul 28, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.04Jul 28, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.05Jul 28, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2.70Jul 28, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.04Jul 28, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.04Jul 28, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$2.82Jul 28, 04:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 175 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
175 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 175 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.