Livid-Toy
0xeb10dc2917619380bc2e2ac605345042d1c3ae96
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$42.07
Total PnL
$-110.38
Realised
$-28.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
42 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$42.07
$1.39
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
208 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.68
- CHIEFS
Super Bowl LIX Winner
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Trump's inaugural address be 1,800-2,000 words?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSuper Bowl LIX Winner$50.00Feb 9, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's inaugural address be 2,400 or more words?$50.00Jan 21, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?$7.24Jan 17, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?$0.00Jan 17, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump attend the launch?$0.00Jan 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX 7th Starship booster survives re-entry?$0.00Jan 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMChopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?$15.15Jan 17, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?$50.00Jan 16, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMYoon arrested by January 31?$56.60Jan 16, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$40.68Jan 14, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's inaugural address be 1,800-2,000 words?$5.00Jan 11, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's inaugural address be 2,400 or more words?$5.00Jan 11, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYChopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?$10.00Jan 11, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX 7th Starship booster survives re-entry?$2.00Jan 11, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?$1.00Jan 11, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend the launch?$5.00Jan 11, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$14.00Jan 11, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by January 31?$30.00Jan 11, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $18.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 23:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".