Tinted-Loss-Harp
0xeb145103bc26c40b9db3eea3f79eccf59f57ac37
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$20.13
Total PnL
$0.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Dignity Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
3 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 US song this week?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.70
$0.00
- NO
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 95.7¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.47
$-0.03
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.28
$0.08
- NO
Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 18, 2026$1.15
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 22?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$118.42Jul 22, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$16.99Jul 22, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$36.00Jul 22, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$33.01Jul 22, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$11.32Jul 22, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$17.39Jul 22, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$15.36Jul 22, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$8.09Jul 22, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$47.91Jul 22, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$14.37Jul 22, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$42.72Jul 22, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$11.36Jul 22, 02:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$373.01Jul 21, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 US song this week?$2.70Jul 21, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 22?$1.00Jul 21, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on July 19?$1.01Jul 19, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$165.09Jul 19, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.50Jul 19, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$58.50Jul 19, 16:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $82.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 04:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.