0xeb15ed2969fa20b6fafb464c41efb774f3d1ad34
0xeb15ed2969fa20b6fafb464c41efb774f3d1ad34
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-535.82
Realised
$-1.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 106-107°F on July 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on July 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on July 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on July 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on July 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on July 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on July 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$2.55Jul 21, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$1.05Jul 20, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$3.70Jul 20, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.48Jul 20, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$15.06Jul 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$0.91Jul 20, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$4.44Jul 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$4.25Jul 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$4.25Jul 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.47Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.04Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.04Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.04Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.32Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.04Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.04Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?$7.00Jul 17, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-16?$8.00Jul 17, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 16?$1.05Jul 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 16?$1.05Jul 16, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.