Crowded-Arrogance
0xeb1cb7c289a6a1bc2b2039d65ad237969b881bcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$93.09
Total PnL
$-9.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6?
93 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$93.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 26?
1253 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1113 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 3?
820 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on September 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 3?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6?$93.01Jun 6, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$93.09Jun 6, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$93.00May 26, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$93.09May 26, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$93.00May 22, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$93.19May 22, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$93.01May 16, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$93.09May 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$93.00May 11, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 7?$92.09May 11, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 7?$92.01May 6, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?$92.09May 6, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?$92.01May 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 26?$92.09May 1, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 26?$92.00Apr 25, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 26?$2.70Apr 25, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$95.09Apr 25, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$95.00Apr 20, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?$95.09Apr 20, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?$95.00Apr 16, 11:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $87.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 06:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.