Impolite-Hero
0xeb1d65d8bf4bdf1787437b1ba608167c78b6de1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-128.52
Win rate
8%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on June 15?
6667 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 19?
6667 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on June 19?
6667 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 24?
6667 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 23?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 28?
3333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?
1330 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 30?
1125 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?
1023 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-29.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?
1003 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$2.34Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?$3.27Jul 8, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?$3.99Jul 8, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?$0.13Jul 8, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?$0.68Jul 8, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$9.86Jul 6, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?$5.93Jul 6, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?$9.35Jul 6, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?$10.20Jul 6, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$7.05Jul 6, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?$10.24Jul 6, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?$9.69Jul 6, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?$1.37Jul 6, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?$9.92Jul 6, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?$10.23Jul 6, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?$24.52Jul 5, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?$9.62Jul 5, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?$9.86Jul 5, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?$10.01Jul 5, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?$6.76Jul 5, 04:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.