Cute-Extreme
0xeb214d487c4f531ef7a3398631d56d3de5e08145
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
2173 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$2.2K
$119.51
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1201 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$138.08
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 53.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$859.00
$-201.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 35.5¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$387.00
$-323.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$100.00
$14.00
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
63 shares @ 93.9¢·now 91.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$57.63
$-1.80
- ISRAEL
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
48 shares @ 70.9¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$23.86
$-9.97
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
925 shares @ 76.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-707.25
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?
749 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-359.69
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
717 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-340.49
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.