0xeb23a48cfac106deaf2c79414c87cb32e40562e2
0xeb23a48cfac106deaf2c79414c87cb32e40562e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-204.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
706 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$660.00
$60.00
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
674 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$644.83
$44.83
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
595 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$508.93
$8.93
- YES
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
467 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$467.39
$37.39
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
375 shares @ 80.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$331.88
$31.88
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
341 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$321.31
$21.31
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
165 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$142.47
$2.47
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.04
$11.04
- NO
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
255 shares @ 78.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Trump sue the BBC?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $244.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.