Rough-Tempo
0xeb277bf8f9f1d35398c6a7fa3a0a51e7e8cdb97b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.57
Total PnL
$-6.06
Realised
$-0.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Sydney Sweeney apologize for her jeans ad in 2025?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
4 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
3 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
2 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?$1.00Nov 29, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$1.00Nov 29, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.87Nov 28, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.01Nov 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$0.63Nov 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.19Nov 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.12Nov 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?$1.15Nov 16, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$3.16Nov 16, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBird flu vaccine in 2025?$0.99Nov 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$0.50Nov 15, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$0.44Nov 15, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Nov 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$1.00Nov 15, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$1.00Nov 15, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0.60Nov 15, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.45Nov 15, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?$0.77Nov 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?$0.61Nov 15, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?$1.03Nov 15, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 21:23 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 12:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.