Visible-Pony
0xeb285b20980532b2b5f9dbcb3ff59294a0633694
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
1000 shares @ 93.8¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$943.50
$5.50
- NO
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?
449 shares @ 93.5¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$413.56
$-5.98
- YES
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?
1054 shares @ 83.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$384.62
$-489.63
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
371 shares @ 88.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$324.24
$-2.31
- NO
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?
300 shares @ 86.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$211.50
$-46.50
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1050 shares @ 56.4¢·now 19.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.37
$-385.00
- YES
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?
224 shares @ 92.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$172.50
$-33.56
- NO
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
128 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$124.28
$-0.78
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
109 shares @ 91.8¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.34
$-0.66
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$96.24
$-3.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.0KJun 14, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$999.99Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.73Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$150.00Jun 13, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$646.91Jun 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$62.12Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$0.74Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$2.43Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$27.37Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$2.43Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.85Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$2.43Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$2.43Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$81.00Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$35.45Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$2.43Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$49.32Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$527.49Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$146.11Jun 13, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$392.70Jun 13, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $183.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.