Scrawny-Toast
0xeb3df8ff09a88b00e8ae453c6d51fef546163e5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$577.26
Total PnL
$0.66
Realised
$0.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
495 shares @ 50.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$450.35
$203.04
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
495 shares @ 50.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.27
$-203.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 14?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.79
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on May 14?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.60
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.29
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.21
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.10
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.39
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 54-55°F on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$7.19
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?$7.202h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on May 14?$8.302h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on May 14?$8.602h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 14?$8.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on May 14?$7.402h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on May 14?$9.802h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 14?$8.202h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 54-55°F on May 14?$7.302h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?$7.002h ago
- MERGEWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$100.503h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on May 13?$1.003h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 13?$1.203h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 13?$1.403h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 13?$1.403h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 13?$1.903h ago
- YIELD$0.076h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 13?$1.4023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on May 13?$1.4023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 13?$1.9023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 13?$1.4023h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".