0xeb4092ed84b8f53b5c79edda26d0578a92ee6423
0xeb4092ed84b8f53b5c79edda26d0578a92ee6423
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.56
Total PnL
$-0.88
Realised
$-0.44
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
1 shares @ 86.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
1 shares @ 86.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
1 shares @ 88.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
1 shares @ 90.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$0.00Jul 29, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$0.00Jul 29, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00Jul 29, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$0.00Jul 29, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Jul 29, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$0.00Jul 29, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$0.00Jul 21, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$0.00Jul 21, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00Jul 21, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$0.00Jul 21, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Jul 21, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$0.00Jul 21, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$0.00Jul 8, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$0.00Jul 8, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00Jul 8, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$0.00Jul 8, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Jul 8, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$0.00Jul 8, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$0.00Jul 1, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$0.00Jul 1, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 05:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.