Stiff-Visor
0xeb43ddd1b105e3ef19531bb95e47d233203987e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.51
Total PnL
$-32.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.51
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET
1600 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET
600 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.51Jul 20, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.19Jul 20, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.16Jul 20, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.15Jun 21, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.15Jun 21, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.13Jun 21, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.10May 27, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 14?$1.18May 27, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$2.13May 27, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.83May 27, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET$0.10May 27, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET$0.40May 27, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET$0.98May 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET$0.06May 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET$0.48May 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET$2.35May 27, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET$2.00May 27, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET$0.09May 27, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET$0.06May 27, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET$0.06May 27, 01:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 23:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.