0xeb522ea8f2ec7f6d31ee2f68c8f0daabea10f12e
0xeb522ea8f2ec7f6d31ee2f68c8f0daabea10f12e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
94
Open notional
$23.74
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-2.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
883 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$13.68
$3.09
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1059 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$10.06
$-0.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
18390 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.39
- AUSTRIA
Spread: Austria (-5.5)
11080 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.08
- YES
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.70
- YES
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.70
- NO
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 26?
10610 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.61
- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
9778 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.25
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$11.43Aug 3, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$11.43Aug 3, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$16.63Aug 3, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$21.12Aug 3, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$25.12Aug 3, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$26.43Aug 3, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$13.63Aug 3, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$13.57Aug 3, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$9.03Aug 3, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$36.22Aug 3, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$14.35Aug 3, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$11.46Aug 3, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$13.15Aug 3, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$38.88Aug 3, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$34.47Aug 3, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$19.66Aug 3, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$10.55Aug 3, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$10.59Aug 3, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$10.61Aug 3, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$10.65Aug 3, 19:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $9.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 18:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.