Impure-Address
0xeb5613054c16abcde8d3cef013aaf3e06ec83fc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$280.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$166.38
Win rate
92%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET
180 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$180.00
$1.51
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$100.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on October 4?
1101 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-23.12
- NO
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
393 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-81.25
- NO
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
307 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-45.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on February 8?
225 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2025$0.00
$-93.16
- NO
Eight Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?
225 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
200 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-132.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?
200 shares @ 73.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-146.80
- NO
Will NASA estimate a 3% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
180 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-158.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET$84.15May 25, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET$14.85May 25, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET$1.35May 25, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET$96.27May 25, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET$1.39May 25, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET$9.82May 25, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET$29.89May 25, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET$99.10May 25, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET$69.61May 25, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET$29.89May 25, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET$50.00May 25, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET$60.00May 25, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET$180.00May 25, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET$49.91May 25, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET$59.44May 25, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET$59.44May 25, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET$1.47May 25, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET$57.33May 25, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 25, 1AM ET$59.44May 25, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?$100.00Apr 28, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $43.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.