0xeb5a8679042cc6dd0e05de6709a1fffaf95b7b47
0xeb5a8679042cc6dd0e05de6709a1fffaf95b7b47
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- GABRIEL DIALLO
Bucharest Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex Molcan
2910 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
- NO
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings - Completed match?
2813 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?
1700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Trump or Melania say "Deal" at Chicago Opening Night?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kosovo vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- IRAQ
Spread: Iraq (-1.5)
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- MAYAR SHERIF
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuan
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- IRAQ
Spread: Iraq (-2.5)
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- NO
Will Czechia vs. Denmark end in a draw?
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?$0.95Apr 6, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.43Apr 6, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$5.73Apr 6, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings - Completed match?$1.90Apr 5, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings - Completed match?$1.00Apr 5, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.86Apr 5, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.60Apr 5, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?$0.74Apr 5, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 4, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 4, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 4, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 4, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?$1.00Apr 3, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$2.14Apr 3, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$6.09Apr 3, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.89Apr 3, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97Apr 3, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.99Apr 3, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.90Apr 3, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$1.46Apr 3, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 21:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.