Assured-Installation
0xeb5c9461c098d2f91d3241796b7e597cd359903d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$2.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5080 shares @ 3.9¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$708.63
$508.63
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
4167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$604.17
$104.17
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
7143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$314.29
$-685.71
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
2778 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$186.11
$-313.89
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$183.33
$-16.66
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1080 shares @ 28.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.55
$-207.44
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4272 shares @ 4.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$57.67
$-142.33
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
6293 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
5556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.99
- YES
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.