Firm-Mailbox
0xeb67bdb79f334428c326cb7f78398b439f37e62a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.85
Total PnL
$-18.9K
Realised
$-869.68
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
1700 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.85
$-101.15
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
13494 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 3?
6384 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-51.07
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
6008 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-800.97
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5367 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-88.88
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
5002 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-301.04
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
4200 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-513.00
- YES
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
4187 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMParamount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?$200.00Mar 1, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$1.8KFeb 18, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$324.00Feb 6, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$252.00Feb 6, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$63.00Feb 6, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.1KFeb 5, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of February?$170.00Feb 4, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?$204.00Feb 4, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$11.32Jan 31, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$1.80Jan 31, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.60Jan 31, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$1.80Jan 31, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$0.60Jan 31, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$1.80Jan 31, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$16.15Jan 30, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$61.91Jan 30, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$6.02Jan 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$510.68Jan 29, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$542.12Jan 29, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?$1.0KJan 28, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $186.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".