Sharp-Incompetence
0xeb710523e40c9f3e48634e81d7952de7b1f2930a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.24
Total PnL
$-48.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 94.7¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$0.05
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 29?
4280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 9?
1108 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 4?
1090 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 10?
1089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 7?
1089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 25?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 27?
1077 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 16?
1077 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.42Jul 3, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.40Jul 2, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.07Jun 30, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.06Jun 26, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 8?$1.1KJun 8, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 8?$1.1KJun 8, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 7?$1.1KJun 7, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 7?$1.1KJun 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 5?$1.1KJun 6, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 5?$1.1KJun 6, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 4?$1.1KJun 5, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 4?$1.1KJun 5, 03:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.19Jun 5, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.22Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 3?$1.1KJun 4, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 3?$1.1KJun 4, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on June 2?$1.1KJun 3, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on June 2?$1.1KJun 3, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2?$1.1KJun 2, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2?$1.1KJun 2, 09:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $683.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.