Courageous-Lard
0xeb747705bbd51b84a7f9018f69e0be82ec872f5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$80.76
Total PnL
$53.41
Realised
$43.18
Win rate
83%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- NO
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.97
$2.47
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.91
$1.61
- YES
Will Lateefah Simon receive the most votes in the CA-12 primary?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$9.78
$-0.03
- NO
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$7.60
$0.60
- NO
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-03-22?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$6.70
$1.40
- NO
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5 shares @ 51.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.94
$2.34
- YES
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.20
$3.10
- YES
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 37.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.77
$3.56
- YES
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.70
$2.40
- YES
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + AUR?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.60
$3.40
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?$4.68Jun 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?$2.45Jun 13, 15:03 UTC
- MERGEWill Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?$4.16Jun 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?$1.04Jun 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?$1.00Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- MERGEWill Mark Conway be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?$9.99Jun 10, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Conway be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?$9.89Jun 10, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janelle Kellman advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ron Huffman advance from the CA-25 primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Fennell advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paloma Valencia place 1st in the Antioquia Department?$0.00Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 30-34 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 55-59 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Progressive Party (PP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$0.00Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$5.01Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin A. Bennett win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Luna Sánchez place 1st in Bogotá?$0.00Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vicky Dávila place 1st in Bogotá?$0.00Jun 10, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Richard Pan advance from the CA-06 primary election?$3.58Jun 9, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?$1.34Jun 9, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.