Powerful-Schema
0xeb77593d1187a2d01c22fb24567b21cddd214e6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$109.21
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$81.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
1314 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$72.29
$-137.48
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?
1893 shares @ 5.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$36.91
$-72.62
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
877 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
741 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.5B?
438 shares @ 57.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-252.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
70 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
41 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
30 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.90
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$60.09Jul 23, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3.40Jul 23, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.06Jul 23, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$325.32Jul 23, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$81.70Jul 23, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$371.45Jul 23, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$73.59Jul 23, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$84.54Jul 23, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$69.58Jul 23, 13:47 UTC
- REWARD$6.27Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$4.60Jul 22, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?$25.13Jul 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$193.49Jul 22, 18:21 UTC
- REWARD$10.80Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$17.97Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$9.96Jul 21, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$100.00Jul 21, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$71.00Jul 21, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$20.00Jul 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$100.00Jul 21, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $173.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.