Fluffy-Dignity
0xeb79a0b6075a1161b6b331c040f509eebc6cbaa1
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$31.61
Total PnL
$-12.76
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
1 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Solana reach $210 in January?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.03
$0.00
- NO
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,900 January 19-25?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.02
$0.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$1.78Jan 21, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$1.00Jan 21, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.00Jan 21, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 21, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by February 28?$1.00Jan 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon reach $320 in January?$1.00Jan 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft reach $645 in January?$1.00Jan 21, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix reach $455 in January?$1.00Jan 21, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $420 in January?$1.00Jan 21, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of January?$1.00Jan 21, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 21, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of January?$1.00Jan 21, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of January?$1.00Jan 21, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 21, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 21, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BNB reach $1300 in January?$15.79Jan 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1300 in January?$16.83Jan 21, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $2.70 January 19-25?$16.82Jan 21, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.70 January 19-25?$17.88Jan 21, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $200 January 19-25?$17.88Jan 21, 19:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $9.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 12:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.