Winding-Omission
0xeb7e2af8e1124cb786bf780fd1a4b9b77fdd1757
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$143.81
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 11?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 22?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 2°C or below on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 10?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C or below on December 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 16-17°F on January 24?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 38°F or higher on December 30?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 1°C on January 4?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 1°C on January 3?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 25?
800 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21?$2.10Jul 21, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$4.80Jul 20, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$1.60Jul 20, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 17?$4.00Jul 17, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 17?$2.10Jul 17, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$6.15Jul 14, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 14?$2.00Jul 14, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?$1.40Jul 13, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?$3.04Jul 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?$0.04Jul 11, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?$1.50Jul 9, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?$8.50Jul 4, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?$1.91Jul 4, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?$1.99Jul 4, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?$3.68Jul 3, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?$1.35Jul 3, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?$1.35Jul 3, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?$10.00Jun 30, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?$3.80Jun 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?$1.35Jun 29, 02:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 07:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.