Favorite-Selfconfidence
0xeb86980e553ec8aad01b98f0d0d68028608cfb51
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
125
Open notional
$115.41
Total PnL
$19.51
Realised
$34.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 47.1¢·exp May 13, 2026$94.25
$93.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 23.1¢·exp May 13, 2026$13.53
$12.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 13?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 21.9¢·exp May 13, 2026$3.32
$1.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?
23 shares @ 8.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.03
$-0.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 13?
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.84
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 13?
55 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.77
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?
13 shares @ 7.2¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.64
$-0.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 13?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 13?
327 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 13?
274 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.14
$-0.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 13?$0.0512m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 13?$0.1613m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 13?$0.9656m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 13?$1.0059m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 13?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 13?$0.581h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 13?$0.411h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 13?$0.502h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 13?$0.452h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 13?$0.403h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or below on May 13?$0.453h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13?$0.513h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?$0.383h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 13?$0.993h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 13?$0.783h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?$0.064h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 13?$0.044h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 13?$0.164h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 13?$0.054h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?$0.944h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 12m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
