Hearty-Churn
0xeb93b11bc7d01dee7d756a89a6db4addbbe0e045
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.95
Total PnL
$-206.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
7250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
893 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will 1650 to 1699 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
608 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 11?
471 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
407 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in November?
234 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
206 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$57.66Apr 13, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$10.00Apr 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 11?$1.00Feb 10, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 11?$1.00Feb 10, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 10?$1.00Feb 10, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?$1.00Feb 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by March 31?$1.00Feb 8, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 8, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 8, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$1.00Feb 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 8, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 8, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Feb 8, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$10.00Feb 8, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$10.00Feb 8, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$1.00Jan 28, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$5.00Jan 10, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".